{"id":41825,"date":"2026-09-30T17:56:03","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T15:56:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/?p=41825"},"modified":"2026-09-30T17:58:07","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T15:58:07","slug":"rrogat-tani-borxhet-me-vone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/?p=41825","title":{"rendered":"Rrogat tani, borxhet m\u00eb von\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u201eModeli Euro\u201c i rritjes s\u00eb pagave dhe programet infrastrukturore me vler\u00eb miliarda euro vijn\u00eb nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht. Prova e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb vjen pas zgjedhjeve.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga Sado Dollaku<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mali i Zi po p\u00ebrgatitet t\u00eb marr\u00eb p\u00ebrsip\u00ebr disa detyrime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha nj\u00ebher\u00ebsh, m\u00eb shum\u00eb se n\u00eb \u00e7do moment tjet\u00ebr gjat\u00eb dekadave t\u00eb fundit. N\u00eb nj\u00ebr\u00ebn an\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb betoni: p\u00ebrfundimi i autostrad\u00ebs Tivar\u2013Boljare, p\u00ebrparimi i Korridorit Adriatiko-Jonian, modernizimi i hekurudh\u00ebs dhe i Portit t\u00eb Tivarit, si dhe zgjerimi i investimeve publike. T\u00eb mos harroj t\u00eb shtoj: ura mbi Bun\u00eb. N\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr jan\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurat e qytetar\u00ebve. Modeli Euro i kryeministrit Milojko Spaji\u0107 premton q\u00eb nga janari i vitit 2027 paga minimale neto nga 1.000 deri n\u00eb 1.400 euro, s\u00eb bashku me uljen e tatimeve mbi pun\u00ebn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Secili prej k\u00ebtyre objektivave mund t\u00eb mbrohet m\u00eb vete. V\u00ebshtir\u00ebsia q\u00ebndron n\u00eb faktin se t\u00eb gjitha financohen nga e nj\u00ebjta llogari, nga bilanci i shtetit, dhe kjo llogari ka kufij.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Argumenti i Qeveris\u00eb n\u00eb favor t\u00eb programit t\u00eb pagave \u00ebsht\u00eb i thjesht\u00eb. N\u00ebse pun\u00ebtor\u00ebt kan\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb para, do t\u00eb shpenzojn\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb. Ky konsum hap vende pune, e nxjerr aktivitetin nga ekonomia gri dhe sjell mjaftuesh\u00ebm t\u00eb ardhura t\u00eb reja p\u00ebr t\u00eb kompensuar tatimin nga i cili shteti heq dor\u00eb. Eliminimi i ekonomis\u00eb gri zgjeron baz\u00ebn tatimore, nd\u00ebrsa rritja e turizmit mbush buxhetin p\u00ebrmes TVSH-s\u00eb, tatimit mbi t\u00eb ardhurat dhe kontributeve. N\u00ebse, p\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, rritja e pagave lidhet me rritjen e produktivitetit (gj\u00eb pak e mundshme), ja kombinimi fitues. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb bast i paarsyesh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, konsumi nuk e kthen t\u00eb ardhur\u00ebn e humbur euro p\u00ebr euro. Kur shteti heq dor\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithmon\u00eb nga t\u00eb ardhurat, nd\u00ebrsa pagat, pensionet dhe detyrimet e tjera vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb rriten, diferenc\u00ebn duhet ta mbuloj\u00eb di\u00e7ka: rritja e q\u00ebndrueshme, eliminimi i suksessh\u00ebm i ekonomis\u00eb gri, taksa t\u00eb reja ose disiplina fiskale. Modeli funksionon vet\u00ebm n\u00ebse d\u00ebshmohet se k\u00ebto p\u00ebrfitime jan\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrhershme, e jo t\u00eb nj\u00ebhershme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si do t\u00eb mbulohet kjo diferenc\u00eb, ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb treguar. Sipas gazet\u00ebs Vijesti, projektligjet jan\u00eb publikuar pa analiza t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebris\u00eb fiskale, pa vler\u00ebsime t\u00eb ndikimit t\u00eb rregulloreve dhe pa mendimin e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Financave. Ministri i Financave, Novica Vukovi\u0107, sipas raportimeve, nuk ka votuar p\u00ebr propozimin n\u00eb seanc\u00ebn elektronike t\u00eb Qeveris\u00eb dhe ka deklaruar vet\u00ebm se i duhet m\u00eb shum\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr ta analizuar. Kur zyrtari p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebs p\u00ebr bilancin e shtetit nuk ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb p\u00eblqimin, \u00e7\u00ebshtja e q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebris\u00eb financiare nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb teorike.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fondi Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb shprehur p\u00ebr Modelin Euro, por vler\u00ebsimi i tij i fundit l\u00eb pak dyshime se ku q\u00ebndron. N\u00eb n\u00ebntor 2025, Fondi vler\u00ebsoi se reformat e m\u00ebparshme t\u00eb pagave kishin ndihmuar n\u00eb uljen e pun\u00ebsimit informal, por paralajm\u00ebroi p\u00ebr dob\u00ebsimin e pozicionit fiskal, rritjen e k\u00ebrkes\u00ebs s\u00eb brendshme dhe presionin mbi \u00e7mimet. Ai i b\u00ebri thirrje Malit t\u00eb Zi q\u00eb rritjen ta nd\u00ebrtoj\u00eb mbi investimet dhe diversifikimin, e jo mbi konsumin. (FMN, n\u00ebntor 2025) Nj\u00eb val\u00eb e tret\u00eb, edhe m\u00eb e madhe, e rritjes s\u00eb pagave t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur te konsumi shkon n\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtim me k\u00ebt\u00eb k\u00ebshill\u00eb, dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb imagjinohet q\u00eb Fondi ta pres\u00eb me miratim n\u00eb vler\u00ebsimin e radh\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Edhe n\u00ebse diferenca q\u00eb krijon programi i pagave mund t\u00eb mbulohet, ai nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i vetmi detyrim i madh i shtetit. Infrastruktura mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb edhe m\u00eb e madhe. Autostrada, korridori, hekurudhat dhe porti s\u00eb bashku mund t\u00eb kushtojn\u00eb miliarda euro. Grantet e BE-s\u00eb, kredit\u00eb e BERZH-it dhe t\u00eb BEI-s\u00eb, koncesionet dhe kapitali i mir\u00ebfillt\u00eb privat mund ta zbusin goditjen e menj\u00ebhershme, por nuk e eliminojn\u00eb rrezikun. Garancit\u00eb shtet\u00ebrore, detyrimet p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhura minimale t\u00eb garantuara dhe pagesat p\u00ebr disponueshm\u00ebri mund ta r\u00ebndojn\u00eb buxhetin p\u00ebr dekada, edhe kur n\u00eb libra nuk shfaqen kurr\u00eb si borxh publik klasik. Nj\u00eb projekt q\u00eb sot duket jasht\u00eb bilancit, nes\u00ebr mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb drejt e brenda tij.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb fund t\u00eb fundit, pra, vendimtare nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb se sa ambicioz \u00ebsht\u00eb secili projekt m\u00eb vete, por radha me t\u00eb cil\u00ebn shteti i merr p\u00ebrsip\u00ebr dhe m\u00ebnyra si i paguan. Gama e rezultateve t\u00eb mundshme \u00ebsht\u00eb e gjer\u00eb. N\u00ebse Modeli Euro n\u00eb mas\u00eb t\u00eb madhe e financon veten, grantet e BE-s\u00eb mbulojn\u00eb nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb konsiderueshme t\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebs dhe investitor\u00ebt privat\u00eb mbajn\u00eb rrezikun real tregtar, borxhi publik deri n\u00eb vitin 2035 mund t\u00eb mbetet af\u00ebr 63 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb. N\u00ebse t\u00eb ardhurat i kompensojn\u00eb humbjet vet\u00ebm pjes\u00ebrisht dhe financimi \u00ebsht\u00eb i p\u00ebrzier, borxhi ngjitet drejt 72 p\u00ebr qind. E n\u00ebse t\u00eb ardhurat d\u00ebshtojn\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa projektet e m\u00ebdha mb\u00ebshteten gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb huamarrjen dhe garancit\u00eb shtet\u00ebrore, ai i afrohet nivelit prej 85 p\u00ebr qind.<\/p>\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n

Grafiku: Borxhi publik i Malit t\u00eb Zi n\u00eb tre skenar\u00eb, 2026\u20132035 (% e PBB-s\u00eb). Burimi: llogaritjet e autorit, Sado Dollaku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00ebto jan\u00eb skenar\u00eb, jo parashikime. Ato tregojn\u00eb se sa shpejt ndryshojn\u00eb perspektivat kur shteti financon nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht detyrime t\u00eb p\u00ebrhershme ndaj t\u00eb ardhurave t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve dhe nj\u00eb program t\u00eb madh investimesh kapitale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An\u00ebtar\u00ebsimi n\u00eb BE do ta leht\u00ebsonte nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebtij presioni, sepse hap qasjen n\u00eb fondet evropiane p\u00ebr infrastruktur\u00eb. Por asnj\u00eb fond i BE-s\u00eb nuk do t\u2019i financoj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithmon\u00eb pagat, pensionet apo kontributet e hequra t\u00eb Malit t\u00eb Zi. K\u00ebto detyrime duhet t\u2019i mbajn\u00eb ekonomia dhe buxheti malazez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pik\u00ebrisht k\u00ebtu koha meriton v\u00ebmendje. Modeli Euro nis n\u00eb janar 2027, nd\u00ebrsa zgjedhjet parlamentare dhe lokale vijn\u00eb m\u00eb 13 qershor 2027. Kjo radh\u00eb ngre nj\u00eb pyetje t\u00eb justifikuar: a \u00ebsht\u00eb ky orari m\u00eb i mir\u00eb p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb, apo kalendari zgjedhor ka ndikuar n\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktimin e tij?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sido q\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb, votuesit do t\u2019i shohin p\u00ebrfitimet n\u00eb flet\u00ebpagesat e tyre para se t\u00eb dalin n\u00eb zgjedhje. Prova e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb vjen m\u00eb von\u00eb, kur shteti do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb financoj\u00eb detyrimet e p\u00ebrhershme, t\u00eb rifinancoj\u00eb borxhin ekzistues dhe t\u00eb paguaj\u00eb pjes\u00ebn e vet t\u00eb projekteve t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. Verdikti p\u00ebr Modelin Euro do t\u00eb shkruhet n\u00eb buxhetet e viteve 2028, 2029 dhe 2030, e jo n\u00eb muajt e tij t\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Asgj\u00eb nga k\u00ebto nuk i b\u00ebn objektivat e Malit t\u00eb Zi jolegjitime. Rreziku q\u00ebndron n\u00eb nisjen e shum\u00eb detyrimeve t\u00eb kushtueshme n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin moment. Pyetja nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebse duhen rritur t\u00eb ardhurat e qytetar\u00ebve apo duhen nd\u00ebrtuar rrug\u00eb e hekurudha, por \u00e7far\u00eb duhet t\u00eb vij\u00eb e para, \u00e7far\u00eb mund t\u00eb pres\u00eb dhe cilat rreziqe shteti \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebrtet i gatsh\u00ebm t\u2019i marr\u00eb p\u00ebrsip\u00ebr. Nj\u00eb strategji e besueshme duhet t\u2019i mbijetoj\u00eb dit\u00ebs s\u00eb zgjedhjeve, p\u00ebrmes \u00e7do buxheti t\u00eb ardhsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201eModeli Euro\u201c i rritjes s\u00eb pagave dhe programet infrastrukturore me vler\u00eb miliarda euro vijn\u00eb nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht. Prova e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb vjen pas zgjedhjeve. Nga Sado Dollaku Mali i Zi po p\u00ebrgatitet t\u00eb marr\u00eb p\u00ebrsip\u00ebr disa detyrime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha nj\u00ebher\u00ebsh, m\u00eb shum\u00eb se n\u00eb \u00e7do moment tjet\u00ebr gjat\u00eb dekadave t\u00eb fundit. N\u00eb nj\u00ebr\u00ebn an\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb betoni: p\u00ebrfundimi i […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":41828,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"%%post_title%% %%sep%% %%sitetitle%%","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktualitet","category-opinione"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=41825"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41825\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41829,"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41825\/revisions\/41829"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/41828"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=41825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=41825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ulqini-online.com\/sajti\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=41825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}